Thursday, October 28, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

USDJPY falls to next support 80.84-88

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 07:18 AM PDT

EURUSD tests 100 and 200 hour MA. A good area to pause and regroup?

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 06:46 AM PDT

The EURUSD reached a peak of 1.3897, just short of the 100 and 200 hour resistance at the 1.3898 level. When the two moving averages and price converge it is indicative of a non-trending market. Typically, the market price moves away from the level. Since the EURUSD has had a steady climb higher today that has taken the pair up from a low of 1.3733 during yesterdays NY PM trading, the market is likely to pause the ascent.   Support is likely to come in at the 1.3861 area where a trendline support comes in.

IMF repeats Chinese Yuan undervalued

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 06:38 AM PDT

Of course, a move higher is what the financial markets need and want - whether it happens is another question.

Forex Morning Report- Oct 28th

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 06:35 AM PDT

Forex Morning Report- Oct 28th

USDJPY moves below 81.12. The 80.84-88 next target. 81.24 key resistance above

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 05:37 AM PDT


 

The USDJPY has moved below the 81.12 level and despite the strong Initial Claims, the price is remaining down. Watch the 100 and 200 hour MA at the 81.24 level for clues.

Bobbys Corner-Market Open-Oct.28.2010

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 05:36 AM PDT

bob-slade-forex-trading-7-150x200Good Morning:

The dollar rally lost steam as an increase in demand for higher-yielding assets has investors interest as the market prepares for the Fed to implement QE2.
The Fed has been “asking” bond dealers and investors their projections on the impact to yields due to any new QE2 initiative.
The BOJ left interest rates unchanged, and instituted no new monetary initiatives, which left market participants looking for clear direction regarding the JPY.

Equity markets are mostly higher-as are US Futures.

Oil:$82.20                                            Gold:$1333.00

TIME FOR EST. PRIOR      
08:30AM INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS  OCT 23    455K    452K      
08:30AM CONTINUING CLAIMS  OCT 16   4430K   4441K 

Jobless claims come in lower to 434K

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

Jobless Claims Data Improves

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 05:34 AM PDT

Jobless Claims:     Survey: 455K    Actual: 434K    Prior: 452K    Revised: 455K   

Continuing Claims:      Survey: 4430K    Actual: 4356K    Prior: 4441K    Revised: 4478K

Initial claims have fell in the favor of the job market with the October 23 week end showing a much better claim with 434,000 vs. the 475 of October 9. Four week moving average is staying in between 455K - 465K

GBPUSD breaks above intraday bull flag. Stalls at Fibo level

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 05:25 AM PDT

NY Morning Commentary. Dollar moves back down

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 05:09 AM PDT

 

The up and down of the dollar was to the downside today as the market worries about the effects of the quantiative easing.  The Fed was reported on Bloomberg to have sent a survey to dealers gauging their expectations and effects.  When QE and potential for more rather than less is expected, the dollar comes under more pressure. 

Today the initial claims is the only data expected.  Expected is 453K vs 452K last week

US Jobless Claims & Continuing Claims Data at 8:30AM

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 05:03 AM PDT

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CBI Realized Sales

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 03:02 AM PDT

CBI Realized Sales came in at 36, weaker than the 40 expected and prior reading of 49.

Gbp/Usd relatively unaffected, trading at 1.5840.

Eurozone Confidence Data stronger than expected

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 02:05 AM PDT

Eurozone Consumer Confidence came in at -11, inline with estimates.

Economic Confidence came in at 104.1, stronger than the 103.5 expected.

Services Confidence came in at 8, stronger than the 7 expected.

Business Climate Indicator for Oct. came in at 0.98, stronger than the 0.79 expected.

Positive number for the Euro as Eur/Usd trades slightly firmer on heels of news, currently residing at 1.3830.

ECB’s Stark; financial crisis not over yet leading gto lower growth rates

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 01:24 AM PDT

This negative outlook on growth keeps pressure on the Euro. Eur/Usd dipped below 1.3800 on news, currently at 1.3808.

Sakurai; important for BOJ and government to work together on policy

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 12:46 AM PDT

Japanese Vice Finance Minister Sakurai would accept any BOJ desire to increase asset fund.

Usd/Jpy bounced up 10 pips from low, trading at 81.35.

ECB’s Weber on the wires

Posted: 28 Oct 2010 12:07 AM PDT

ECB’s Weber say deficit countries must help reduce imbalances. Here are some other bullet points from his speech;

* there are economic divergences in Euro Area

* major imbalances within Euro Area a hazard

* global imbalances still pose risks to global economy

* flexible forex rate would help China rebalance growth

* recent Yuan appreciation is welcome further step

* German growth increasingly based on domestic demand

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