Thursday, November 18, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

US Leading Indicators Stay the Same as Philadelphia Fed Shows Great Improvement

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 07:02 AM PST

Philadelphia Fed:     Survey: 5.0      Actual: 22.5        Prior:  1.0

Philly Fed Rundown: NOV vs. OCT
General Business Activity:  17.4  - 41.4
Prices Paid:  3.9 - 56.6
Prices Received:  15.8 - 66.6
New Orders:  25.4 - 35.5
Shipments:  20.9  - 38.2
Unfilled Orders:  18.0  - 57.8
Delivery Time:  10.9  - 73.7
Inventories:  24.5 -  57.0

Leading Indicators:    Survey: 0.5%     Actual:  0.5   Prior:  1.0%    Revised 0.5%

Forex Morning Report- Nov 18

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 06:30 AM PST

Forex Morning Report- Nov 18

ECB’s Trichet on the Wires

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:54 AM PST

  • Can decide on standard, non-standard tools separately
  • ECB Could do one, the other or both on exit
  • Rate Decision will depend on price stability
  • Exit of unconventional tools depends on financial markets
  • Current situation remains ‘very demanding’
  • ECB, FED ‘closely aligned’ on price stability
  • Sees need for ‘quantum leap’ of governance
  • Price stability definition proved to be ‘crucial’
  • ECB never pre-commits on interest rates
  • Must keep ability to react to unforeseen contingencies
  • Interest rates are ‘appropriate’
  • Must remain ‘mindful’ that euro area has 16 states
  • Euro region isn’t a ‘fully-fledged political union’
  • Non-Standard measures are ‘temporary’ by nature
  • ECB must ensure that banks don’t become reliant on cash
  • Tools must aim at reactivating private markets
  • Euro region isn’t a fiscal union with unified bond market
  • Non-Standard measures aim to remove ‘major roadblocks’ 

US Philadelphia Fed Survey & Leading Indicators Data at 10AM

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:39 AM PST

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US Jobless Claims Stay Put

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:32 AM PST

Jobless Claims:  Survey: 441K    Actual:  439K   Prior: 435K    Revised:  437K   

Continuing Claims:  Survey: 4295K    Actual:  4295K    Prior: 4301K   Revised:  4343K

Canada Leading Indicators & Wholesale Sales Stronger

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:31 AM PST

Leading Indicators MoM:          Survey:  0.1%           Actual:  .2%            Prior:  -0.1%             Revised:   -.2%

Wholesale Sales MoM :         Survey:  -0.3%            Actual:  .4%             Prior:  1.2%             Revised:   1.3%

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-Nov.18.2010

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:25 AM PST

bob-slade-forex-trading-3-150x200Good Morning:

The Euro picked up overnight-as speculation that Ireland will receive a bailout (or aid package if you wish), which will hopefully prevent contagion in the EU’s other sovereign states.  A package for Ireland would most certainly lead to calmer markets, which will be positive for the Euro.
The Fed’s QE2 program which will purchase $75 Bil of US Treasuries per month will hopefully spur employment and inflation in a move to  get the US economy back on solid ground.

World equity markets rose, and US Futures are higher with news  that the IMF  and EU are working on a solution for Ireland’s sovereign debt issue.

Oil:$81.84                                                    Gold:$1353.60

TIME FOR EST. PRIOR
8:30A.M. INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS 13-Nov 442K 435K
8:30A.M. CONTINUING CLAIMS 6-Nov 4295K 4301K
10:00A.M. MORTGAGE DELINQUENCIES  3Q 9.85%
10:00A.M. MBA MORTGAGE FORECLOSURES  3Q 4.57%
10:00A.M. LEADING INDICATORS OCT. 0.50% 0.30%
10:00A.M. PHILADELPHIA FED . NOV. 5.O     1.O

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

US Jobless Claims Due at 8:30AM

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:04 AM PST

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Canada Leading Indicators & Wholesale Sales Data due at 8:30AM

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 05:01 AM PST

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CBI Industrial Orders Expectations

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 03:02 AM PST

CBI Industrial Orders Expectations came in at -15, better than the -24 expected and an improvement of the prior reading of -28.

Gbp/Usd has made a new high of 1.5979 upon release of positive data.

Swiss ZEW Economic Expectations

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 02:04 AM PST

Swiss Zew Economic Expectations came in at -30.9, wekaer than the prior reading of -27.5. No estimates were given for this number.

Usd/Chf trades at .9880 and Eur/Chf at 1.3480.

UK Retail Sales & Public Sector net borrowing

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 01:37 AM PST

Retail Sales m/m  came in at 0.5% as expected.

Public Sector Net Borrowing came in at 9.8B, stronger than the 9.0B expected which is not good for the Gbp.

Gbp/Usd has come off its recent highs about 25 points to trade at 1.5947.

Irish govenment minister sees Irish banks as solvent; Euro, Gbp strengthens

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 01:10 AM PST

Eur/Usd made new high of 1.3655. Gbp/Usd to 1.5974.

Eurozone Current Account

Posted: 18 Nov 2010 01:06 AM PST

Eurozone Current Account came in at -13.1B, weaker than the -2.2B expected.

Though a negative number for the Euro the currency has strengthened in recent trade. Eur/Usd currently trades at 1.3645.

Swiss Trade Balance

Posted: 17 Nov 2010 11:28 PM PST

Swiss Trade Balance came in at 2.10B, greater than the 1.54B expected.

Chf has continued to look strong throughout the session with Usd/Chf at its low of .9870.

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