Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

EURUSD rises despite better US data

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 07:01 AM PST

Despite the better ChicagoPMI, the EURUSD has seen some profit taking/short covering.  The pair is heading toward intraday resistance against the 38.2% retracement of the days range and the 100 bar MA on the 5 minute chart. Look for seller against the levels with stops likely on a move above.

US Consumer Confidences Rises

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 07:00 AM PST

Chicago Purchasing Manager:     Survey: 59.9     Actual: 62.5       Prior: 60.6    

Consumer Confidence:     Survey: 53.0     Actual: 54.1        Prior: 50.2     Revised: 49.9

NAPM-Milwaukee:     Survey: 57.5     Actual: 59.0       Prior: 56.0

Chicago PMI comes out stronger at 62.5.

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:56 AM PST

The index came out at 62.5 vs 60.6 last. This was above expectations of 59.5 and is the highest level since 63.8 in April. 

The components showed strength as well with employment and new orders rising.  Inventories were down but that may be a good going forward if they have to be replenished.  Overall, the Christmas season has gotten off to a good start as well which may be good for the economy as well.  Below are the component pieces :

Prices paid          70.7  vs 68.9 last
Production           71.3  vs 69.8 last
New orders           67.2  vs 65.0 last
Order backlogs       48.9  vs 49.2 last
Inventories          48.4  vs 54.9 last
Employment           56.3  vs 54.6 last
Supplier deliveries  60.4  vs 62.8 last

IMF Lipsky on the wires

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:53 AM PST

  • Market still skeptical on Greek Plan success
  • Notion of threat to EURO wildly exagerated
  • Euro has solid value
  • Ireland plan never meant to assuage all uncertainty
  • Greek budget program is on track
  • Solutions will take TIME

USDCHF in the middle of a range

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:50 AM PST

The USDCHF is in the middle of the 3 day range. The CHF is also a safe haven currency and as a result, the dollar move of late has not effected the USDCHF as much as some of the other currencies. Investors feel as comfortable buying the CHF as they do the EUR as it struggles with Ireland and worries about Portugal and Spain.

USDJPY holds Fibo support on first test

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:36 AM PST

US Consumer Confidence & Chicago PMI Due at 10AM

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:32 AM PST

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Forex Morning Report- Nov 30

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:30 AM PST

US S&P Case-Shiller Data All Lower

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 06:03 AM PST

S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Ind:    Actual: 147.49    Prior: 148.59     Revised: 148.55

S&P/CS 20 City (MoM%) SA:              Survey: -0.40%     Actual: -.80%     Prior: -.28%     Revised:  -.48%

S&P/CS Composite-20 (YOY):           Survey: 1.00%     Actual: .59%     Prior: 1.70%    Revised: 1.67%

S&P/CaseShiller US HPI:                      Actual: 135.5       Prior: 138.0    Revised: 138.3

S&P/CaseShiller US HPI (YoY%):    Survey: 1.3%    Actual: -1.5%    Prior: 3.6%     Revised: 3.8%

EURJPY falls to 2 1/2 month lows

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 05:55 AM PST

Weak Canada GDP sends the USDCAD higher

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 05:42 AM PST

Canada GDP & Quarterly GDP Both Lower

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 05:31 AM PST

Gross Domestic Product:    Survey:  0.1%         Actual: -0.1%        Prior:  0.3%   

Quaterly GDP Annualized:    Survey:  1.5%         Actual: 1.0%        Prior: 2.0%

FXDD’s SVP Bob McKeon appears on CNBCs Squawk

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 05:13 AM PST

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-Nov.30.2010

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 05:11 AM PST

bob-slade-forex-trading-6-150x200Good Morning:

I am returning from an extended Thanksgiving Holiday-I hope all of you in the US enjoyed the holiday-and for the rest of the world-the markets are now back on a regular schedule.

The Euro fell through the critical 1.30 level overnight-as concerns over the regions debt crisis continue to set center stage in the marketplace.  Spanish bond yields reached their highest level in a decade, and Italian credit spreads continued to widen to record highs.
Markets will be watching the Spanish debt auction scheduled for this Thursday, along with comments by the ECB at a press conference the same day.  The ECB will need to provide further accommodations for the regions banks, as speculation mounts that the ECB may need to begin a QE program to help stabilize the Eu’s credit markets.

World equity markets were and are lower-as are US Futures.

Oil:$85.06                                                              Gold:$1372.10

TIME FOR EST PRIOR
09:00AM S&P/CASESHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX  SEP 148.59O
09:00AM S&P/CS 20 CITY MoM SA  SEP  -0.4O%  -O.28%
09:00AM S&P/ CS COMPOSITE-20YoY  SEP  1.OO%  1.7O%
09:00AM S&P/CASE -SHILLER US HPI  3Q  —- 138.O
09:00AM S&P/CASE -SHILLER US HPI YoY   3Q 1.30%  3.6O%
  09:45AM CHICAGO PURCHASING MANAGER NOV  59.9O      6O.2
10:00AM CONSUMER CONFIDENCE  NOV       53.O      5O.2
10:00AM NAPM - MILWAUKEE  NOV  57.5O 56.O

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

NY Opening Forex Commentary is available for viewing

Posted: 30 Nov 2010 05:04 AM PST

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