Thursday, June 3, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

Forex QUICK: EURUSD breaks through intraday floor and extends downside move

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 07:10 AM PDT

ISM Non Manufacturing stayed unchanged from last month. A little weaker than expected

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 07:03 AM PDT

EMPLOYMENT INDEX 50.4 AFTER 49.5 LAST MONTH BACKLOGS INDEX 56.0 AFTER 49.5 LAST MONTH
PRICES INDEX 60.6 AFTER 64.7 LAST MONTH
INVENTORY INDEX 62.5 AFTER 54.5 LAST MONTH
ORDERS INDEX 57.1 AFTER 58.2 LAST MONTH
BUSINESS ACTIVITY AT 61.1 VS 60.3 LAST MONTH

Forex Morning Report- June 3

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 06:23 AM PDT

Forex Morning Report- June 3

Fed’s Lockhart on wires

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:59 AM PDT

Says:

Would like to see evidence employment is improving

Forex QUICK: GBPUSD trades with a slight bearish bias. Key support at 1.4624-28 today.

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:56 AM PDT

Initial Claims come in as expected

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:32 AM PDT

Productivity is revised lower to 2.8% from 3.4%. This might be bearish for stocks as lower productivity gains hits the bottom line for corporations, but it is old news.

Forex QUICK: EURUSD trading like it should from tech perspective in early NY trade

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:30 AM PDT

ADP Employment Change +55K jobs

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:15 AM PDT

This is probably weaker than what the market might have been looking for given a 500K estimate for NFP on Friday.  The prior month was revised to 65 from 32K.

SMall business up 13 K, Medium businesses up 39K, and Large business up 3K. Service jobs added 78K and Manufacturing rose 15K

The USDJPY fell on the news and weaker data.  The USDJPY has support at the 92.54  level and the 100 bar MA on the 5 minute chart at the 92.49 level.

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Forex QUICK:USDCAD bottomed? A technical look at the pair.

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:14 AM PDT

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-June.3.2010

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:12 AM PDT

bob-slade-forex-trading-6-150x200Good Morning:

The JPY traded lower overnight as signs that the global economy is getting stronger-thus dampening the demand for the Japanese currency as a safe haven.  The JPY also declined due to the political changes going on in Japan. Prime Minister Hotoyama resigned and Finance Minister Kan is expected to fill his shoes, and Kan has already made comments that he wants the JPY to weaken-as a higher yen slows profits for exporters, who have lead Japan’s recovery. 

World equity markets rose, and US Futures are higher at this time.  Commodities also rallied, after GM and Ford announced higher than expected sales increases for May.

Oil:$73.25                                                       Gold:$1218.50   

Today’s data:

8:15A.M. ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE MAY 70K 32K
8:30A.M. NONFARM PRODUCTIVITY 1QF 3.40% 3.60%
8:30A.M. UNIT LABOR COSTS 1QF -1.40% -1.60%
8:30A.M. INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS 29-May 453K 460K
8:30A.M. CONTINUING CLAIMS 22-May 4610K 4607K
10:00A.M. FACTORY ORDERS  APRIL 1.80% 1.30% 1.10%
10:00A.M. ISM NON MANUF.COMPOSITE MAY  55.6O  55.4O
10:30A.M. ICSC CHAIN STORE SALES Y  YoY MAY 0.80%  

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

ADP NonFarm Employment Change due at 8:15 AM

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 05:00 AM PDT

fxdd_reg_pic0338

The forecast bears no resemblance to Fridays NFP estimates which are pushing 500,000 due to cencus workers.

Also released at 8:30 will be the Nonfarm Productivity for the 1Q. This is a revised number. The expectation is for a decline to 3.4% from 3.6%.  The Unit Labor Costs are expected to show a decline of -1.4% from -1.6%. 

Finally Jobless Claims are expected to show a fall to 455K from 460K.  The Continuing Claims are expected to stay relatively unchanged at 4610K vs 4607K

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Forex QUICK:USDJPY testing key resistance at 92.67-81 area

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 04:45 AM PDT

Feds Lockhart on the newswires

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 04:31 AM PDT

Says time is approaching to weigh recalibrating policy. Also conditions requiring policy change not yet at hand.

He sees improvement in jobs market and that confidence is “warranted” for US growth.

New York Opening Forex Commentary is available for viewing

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 04:25 AM PDT

Eurozone Retaul Sales

Posted: 03 Jun 2010 02:03 AM PDT

Eurozone Retail Sales m/m came in at-1.2%, weaker than the 0.1% expected and prior reading of 0.0%.

Seemingly bad number for the Euro but market not reacting as such. Eur/Usd escalated above 1.2300 upon release.

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