Monday, June 28, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

Weekend Technical Commentary: USDCAD

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 03:31 PM PDT

Weekend Technical Review: USDJPY

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 12:54 PM PDT

Weekend Technical Review: USDCHF

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 12:53 PM PDT

Weekend Technical Review: GBPUSD

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 12:53 PM PDT

Weekend Technical Review: EURUSD

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 12:52 PM PDT

Key Economic Releases and Events for next weeks trading

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 12:37 PM PDT

G20 Meeting increases weekend risk

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 11:10 AM PDT

The G20 meeting this weekend increases the traders risk. The expectation is for a neutral report/communique. There may be some disagreement behind closed doors as far as the method behind exiting out of a crisis with the EUROZONE members and the UK focusing their efforts on debt reduction, while the US would prefer they focus on spend, spend, spend (or not be too austere in their austerity), but it is unlikely that any discussion will change minds.

China has allowed its currency to float/appreciate albeit at a moderate pace. ALthough the market expects a modest move going forward, the fact the Yuan has come off the peg to the dollar and the Peoples Bank of China is intent on making it float against a basket of currencies. This is contributing to the rise in the EURUSD/GBPUSD which has benefitted from the peg to the stronger dollar over the last few months.  China may want to limit the Yuans gain against the EURO and GBP and allow the action to be felt against the dollar - at least for the time being.

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The rise in the EURUSD and GBPUSD have also benefitted from some better technicals which are testing resistance with the GBPUSD at the 100 day moving average (at 1.5048) and the EURUSD at trendline resistance (at 1.2375).   Although if it were not the weekend and the position could be monitored minute to minute, selling against these key levels would be the obvious trade. However, with the higher weekend event risk, a gap higher above these key levels would be a concern.  In trading it is always better to live to fight another day.  Monitoring the risk and controlling the risk is paramount for success as a trader.  When risk is increased - and this weekend risk is increased - it is best to take that fact into consideration. 

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So be careful and be sure to evaluate your risk before the weekend close at 4 PM ET.

Forex QUICK…STOP in GBPUSD

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 10:33 AM PDT

The GBPUSD moved back above the 1.5010 level. The next target becomes the 1.5042 level which is the 100 day MA for the pair. The price has been below the 100 day MA since January 21st. I would expect the market to slow there.

The USDCHF is trading around its 100 day MA level at 1.0945 area but rallies continue to be sold as a result, don’t fade the trend.

Forex QUICK: GBPUSD finding resistance at 1.5010

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 10:27 AM PDT

Forex Midday Report - June 25

Posted: 25 Jun 2010 09:30 AM PDT

Forex Midday Report - June 25

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