Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

EURJPY coiling for a move. Be aware. Be prepared

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 06:28 AM PDT

The EURJPY has been coiling for a move. The pair has been in a narrow trading range over the last 3-4 days after the sharp move higher last week. This has allowed the 100 hour MA to catch up to the price. What direction will the market decide? Be aware. Be prepared

Forex Morning Report- Sept 21

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 06:25 AM PDT

Forex Morning Report- Sept 21

EURUSD and the 1.3124 level. Time to make a move?

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 05:46 AM PDT

Housing Starts & Building Permits Data Stronger

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 05:33 AM PDT

Housing Starts:    Survey: 550K    Actual: 598K    Prior: 546K    Revised: 541K

Housing Starts (MoM)%:    Survey: 0.7%    Actual: 10.5%    Prior: 1.7%    Revised: .4% 

Building Permits:    Survey: 560K    Actual: 569K    Prior: 565K    Revised: 559K

Building Permits (MoM)%:    Survey: 0.2%    Actual: 1.8%    Prior: -3.1%    Revised: -4.1%

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-Sept.21.2010

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 05:17 AM PDT

bob-slade-forex-trading-6-150x200Good Morning:

The USD dropped overnight ahead of today’s US data.  The markets expect that the report will show that the US housing markets is still in shambles.  This data just adds to the growing concern that US economic recovery is faltering.
Other factors contributing to the greenback’s decline is that the announcement from the FOMC-expected today at 2:15 PM,  is expected to reaffirm keeping interest rates at record low levels for an “extended period”.
The Euro has stayed strong as both Spanish and Irish bond auctions have been extremely well received by investors.

Asian equity markets were mixed-while Europe is higher.  US Futures are also pointing to a higher opening this morning.

Oil was relatively unchanged-and Gold traded near record highs as a weaker US and signals from the Fed that they need to do more to stimulate economic growth has spurred demand for the metal.

Oil:$73.91                                                        Gold:$1276.20

  

TIME FOR EST. PRIOR
8:30A.M. HOUSING STARTS AUG 550K 546K
8:30A.M. HOUSING STARTS MoM AUG 0.70% 1.70%
8:30A.M. BUILDING PERMITS AUG 560K 565K
8:30A.M. BUILDING PERMITS MoM AUG 0.20% -3.10%
2:15P.M. FOMC RATE DECISION         

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

US Building & Housing Starts Data due at 8:30AM

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 05:07 AM PDT

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NY Opening Forex Commentary as the market prepares for the Fed

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 04:42 AM PDT


NY Opening Forex Commentary as the market prepares for the Fed

Canada CPI falls by -0.1% Up 1.7% YoY

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 04:14 AM PDT

fxdd-pic-1073The headline inflation fell by 0.1% and the core increases by 0.1%. The YoY headline CPI meanwhile rost by 1.7% while the core CPI rose by as an expected 1.6%. The headline data was a bit weaker than expected (ex 0.0% and 1.9% respectively).

The USDCAD has moved higher off the weaker data.

Greece sell 390 million euros of 13 week t-bills; Ireland sells 500 million of 2014 bonds

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 02:21 AM PDT

These promising sales have sent Eur/Usd to test 1.3150. The pair has since retreated to 1.3135.

ECB’s Wellink on the wires

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 02:04 AM PDT

ECB Governing Council member Nout Wellink told this to Market News International;

* ECB may delay exit if it hurts economy’ would reconsider exit if growth at risk

* baseline scenario for growth still okay

* doesn’t expect significant rise in market rates in 4th quarter

* not too pessimistic on U.S. economy

* Greece still on track

* satisfied with policies regarding the Euro

UK Public Sector Net Borrowing

Posted: 21 Sep 2010 01:37 AM PDT

UK Public Sector Net Borrowing for August came in at 15.3B, a larger deficit than the 12.5B expected.

This is the highest level for an August on record.

Gbp/Usd trades at 1.5545.

EU’s Barroso on Ireland

Posted: 20 Sep 2010 11:35 PM PDT

EU’s Barroso says Ireland is taking courageous measures on its finances. Barroso feels the EU is closely monitoring the situation and sees Ireland as taking the proper measures on its deficit.

Swiss Trade Balance

Posted: 20 Sep 2010 11:18 PM PDT

The Swiss trade surplus is 0.57B, less than the 1.97B expected and prior reading of 2.84B.

Eur/Chf and Usd/Chf unaffected upon release, trading at 1.3165 and 1.0153 respectively.

9-21 Economic Calendar

Posted: 20 Sep 2010 08:55 PM PDT

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RBA Meeting Minutes

Posted: 20 Sep 2010 06:40 PM PDT

The Aussie had a muted reaction to the following RBA Meeting Minutes:

  • Higher rates likely needed if growth trend continues.
  • Sees economic growth at trend, or bit above, in the coming years.
  • Significant flow on from resource sector investment.
  • Risks include US downturn, sharp China slowdown.
  • Australian financial system much stronger than most.
  • Household sectors reduced debt appetite continuing.
  • Growth slowing in Asia to more sustainable pace.
  • Members noted investment booms pose significant challenges.
  • Need to ensure inflation consistent with medium-term target.
  • Prospects in resource sector ‘especially positive.’

The AUD/USD pair has had a strong move through the summer and prospects for the country continue to lead the way as compared to other economies around the world. In addition, the AUD has greatly benefited from a rising rate structure, while the Euro, USD and JPY continue to ease. However from a technical perspective we see the pair has traded off the 161.8% retracement of the August move and is also approaching the top end of the channel that has provided pull backs on the pair throughout the summer.

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