Thursday, September 30, 2010

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

Chicago PMI Strong

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 06:45 AM PDT

Chicago purchasing manager data comes out much stronger at 60.4 vs. a projected 55.5 and a prior 56.7.

Chicago PMI Data Due at 9:45AM

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 06:32 AM PDT

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Forex Morning Report- Sept 30

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 06:30 AM PDT


Forex Morning Report- Sept 30

Canada GDP Stays According to Forecast

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 05:34 AM PDT

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Jobless Claims Lessen as GDP Rises but Still Subpar

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 05:33 AM PDT

GDP QoQ(Annualized):      Survey: 1.6%          Actual: 1.7%            Prior:  1.6%         

Personal Consumption:     Survey: 2.0%          Actual: 2.2%           Prior:  2.0%          

GDP Price Index:     Survey:  1.9%         Actual:  1.9%       Prior:  1.9%       

Core PCE (QoQ):    Survey:  1.1%         Actual: 1.0%        Prior: 1.1%       

Jobless Claims:     Survey: 460K    Actual: 453K    Prior: 465K    Revised: 469K   

Continuing Claims:      Survey: 4473K    Actual: 4457K    Prior: 4489K    Revised: 4540K

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-Sept.30.2010

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 05:30 AM PDT

bob-slade-forex-2-150x200Good Morning:

The continued sovereign debt plaguing Europe seems to be taking a back seat lately.  The markets are more focused on the positive economic data coming out of Germany and France-thus the Euro rally that we have witnessed during the past few weeks.
The Irish government announced that the bailout of Anglo Irish Bank may cost upwards of 29-34 billion euros.
Also, Moody’s downgraded Spanish debt.  Both of these events were highly expected by the markets-and did not cause much damage to the Euro overall.
 
World equity markets were lower-as are US Futures.

Oil rose, and gold climbed to another record.

Oil:$78.70                                            Gold:$1314.80

TIME FOR EST. PRIOR
8:30A.M. GDP QoQ (ANNUALIZED) 2Q T 1.60% 1.60%
8:30A.M. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION 2Q T 2.00% 2.00%
8:30A.M. GDP RICE INDEX 2Q T 1.90% 1.90%
8:30A.M. CORE PCE QoQ 2Q T 1.10% 1.10%
8:30A.M. INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS 25-Sep 460K 465K
8:30A.M. CONTINUING CLAIMS 18-Sep 4468K    4489K
9:45A.M. CHICAGO PURCHASING MGR. SEPT.      55.9O      56.7O
10:00A.M. NAPM -MILWAUKEE SEPT. 58.O 59.O

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

US Jobless Claims & GDP Price Index Data at 8:30AM

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 05:05 AM PDT

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Canada GDP Data Due at 8:30AM

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 04:56 AM PDT

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Fisher Speaks

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 02:15 AM PDT

Paul Fisher, BOE Executive Director, made the following comments while speaking at the Loan Market Association Syndicated Loans Conference in London:

  • UK banks will take some years to recover.
  • Lending capacity of UK banks is still impaired.
  • Plenty of evidence that QE worked in restoring liquidity.
  • BOE can’t intervene to aid specific markets.
  • Lending to firms is more expensive versus pre-crisis.
  • Most markets have recovered to some degree.

EUR/USD Reaches 0.0% Line And Retreats

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 02:10 AM PDT

Before we mention that the next topside target for the euro was 1.3646, and after a push following a slightly better Italian CPI release a few minutes ago it made a new session high of 1.3646. After touching the line, it has traded lower and it now in the ballpark of 1.3636.

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Eurozone/Italian CPI

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 02:04 AM PDT

  • Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate (y/y) - Survey: 1.8%   Actual: 1.8%  Prior: 1.6%
  • Italian CPI (m/m) - Survey: 0.0%   Actual: -0.2%   Prior: 0.2%

In 10 Minutes….

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 01:54 AM PDT

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USD/CHF Finding Some Hourly Resistance At .97918

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 01:39 AM PDT

With the two prior hourly candlesticks finding resistance at .97918, which is the 23.6% retracement line on the move from Sept 21 highs to yesterday’s lows, the pair may be looking at .9733 as the next downside target.

9-30-hourly

Sterling Trades Higher Following BOE Credit Conditions Survey

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 01:32 AM PDT

  • Q3 Corporate Credit Available Net: 7.8% vs 7.1% in Q2
  • Q3 Secured Household Credit Available net: 8.3% vs 6.3% in Q2
  • Q3 Unsecured Household Credit Available Net: - 3.5% vs -0.6% in Q2

German Unemployment Change Better Than Expected

Posted: 30 Sep 2010 12:57 AM PDT

The Euro traded slightly higher in reaction to Germany’s unemployment change which was -40K versus the forecast of -20K and prior showing of -17K.

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