Thursday, May 19, 2011

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

Weak data sends USDJPY back down

Posted: 19 May 2011 07:17 AM PDT

fxdd-pic-2810

 The weak Leading indicators and Philadelphia Fed index has sent the USDJPY back lower. From a technical basis, the price was already capped against the 100 day MA. The 100 day MA came in at the 82.23. The high reached 82.22. The weak data helped push the price further down and the price is now looking to test the next target which is the high price from Tuesday at the 81.75 level. Below that level the 81.50 level - the low for the day and the 38.2% of the move up from last Friday’s low.

fxdd-pic-2811

US Home Sales, Leading Indicators, Philadelphia Fed Survey All Worse

Posted: 19 May 2011 07:03 AM PDT

Existing Home Sales:     Survey: 5.20m        Actual: 5.05m       Prior: 5.10m    Revised: 5.09m
 April 2011   vs   March 2011
Total Sales:  5.050  vs  5.090
Single Family:  4.420  vs  4.440
Condos/Co-ops: 0.630  vs  0.0650  

April 2011   vs   March 2011 (Monthly % Change)
Total Sales: -0.8  vs  3.5% 
Single Family:  -0.5  vs  3.7%
Condos/Co-ops:  -3.1  vs  1.6%

April 2011   vs   March 2011 (3-Mth Avg)
Total Sales:  9.2  vs  8.3   
Single Family:  9.0  vs  8.1
Condos/Co-ops:  10.5  vs  10.0

Philadelphia Fed:  Survey:  20.0   Actual:  3.9   Prior: 18.5

Philly Fed business conditions index is at its lowest since October 2010

Leading Indicators:   Survey:  0.1%   Actual:  -0.3%   Prior: 0.4%  Revised: 0.7%

US Home Sales & Philadelphia Fed Survey Due at 10AM

Posted: 19 May 2011 06:36 AM PDT

446

447

Feds Dudley says QE helpful in generating more employment growth

Posted: 19 May 2011 06:19 AM PDT

It has also given the economy more momentum.

The NY Opening Forex Commentary for May 19th 2011

Posted: 19 May 2011 06:01 AM PDT

US Jobless Claims Fall

Posted: 19 May 2011 05:33 AM PDT

US jobless claims come in a bit better at 409,000 falling 29,000 from last weeks 434,000. The revision comes in slightly higher at 438,000. Continuing claims also come in better at 3711K opposed to the surveyed 3728K.

Swiss Economy Minister Amman says strong franc is reason for concern

Posted: 19 May 2011 05:06 AM PDT

  • Doesn’t say what FX measures Govt could take
  • Swiss ability to influence FX is limited
  • Strong Franc poses considerable risk
  • Govt, SNB may take appropriate FX measures

He does add however, that

  • Swiss firms must learn to live with stronger franc and that
  • All are monitoring the situation

The USDCHF pushed higher on the comments and now trades above the 100 hour MA at the 0.8843 level.  Look for the level to give traders a support area for the time being at least.

US Jobless Claims Report Due at 8:30AM

Posted: 19 May 2011 04:37 AM PDT

442

443

UK CBI was -2; slightly better than expected.

Posted: 19 May 2011 03:01 AM PDT


UK CBI @ 6

Posted: 19 May 2011 02:58 AM PDT

5-19-uk-cbi

Swiss testing 38.2%

Posted: 19 May 2011 02:55 AM PDT

USD/CHF a little firmer; testing the 38.2% on the hourly move from Friday’s high to todays low. If momentum continues, the 100 hr moving average is the next target.

5-19-hourly1

Swiss ZEW -11.5 vs. the 8.8 prior reading

Posted: 19 May 2011 02:01 AM PDT


Swiss Zew @ 5

Posted: 19 May 2011 01:58 AM PDT

5-19-swiss-zew

U.K retail sales came in at 1.1%, better than expected.

Posted: 19 May 2011 01:30 AM PDT

Sterling higher on the release.

Moody’s say NZ budget measure support Aaa rating

Posted: 19 May 2011 01:10 AM PDT


No comments:

Post a Comment