Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

Lacker not ready to stop QE now

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 07:29 AM PST

  • Nevertheless, he say US Economic data stronger than he expected.
  • Hard part will be timing the stimulus withdrawal

The NY Morning Forex Commentary for Feb 8th is available for viewing

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 06:50 AM PST

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GBPUSD tests and moves below 200 hour MA at 1.6059

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 06:10 AM PST

The 200 hour MA is being testing in the GBPUSD. That level comes in at the 1.6059 level. The GBPUSD has been pressured today on the back of an increase in tax on banks by the Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne. This is perceived to be a potential drag on bank lending. 

The next target for the pair comes in at the 1.6035 level. Below that the 1.6013 level. This is the 50% retracement of the move up from the January 25th low to the high reached on February 3rd.

fxdd-pic-1912

The price should remain below the 1.6077-87 level in order to keep the bearish bias for the pair in tact. This level represents an intraday floor area over the last 24 hours (see chart below). The 1.6089 level is also the 38.2% of the days range which should solicit selling interest (with risk on a move back above this level).

fxdd-pic-1913

Lacker: Fed Should re-evaluate QE2

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 05:49 AM PST

The Feds Lacker is on the newswire saying the Fed should seriously re-evaluate QE2.

He also says the US economy is growing at a steadily increasing pace and that he sees continued labor market improvement. Finally he sees robust consumer spending in 2011.

Risks to the economy include housing but he commented that the industry represents about 2 1/4 percent of total output so the damage can be limited.

What I might warn is that economic output from housing is small, but the impact of declining prices intensify the risk to other industries. When housing first started to falter, this argument was made with a blind eye to what a sharp decline in housing prices could do. Granted, most of the damage is known now, but it does not take away the magnification of housing on other sectors growth potential.

Lacker is not a voting member on the FOMC.

The USDJPY has moved higher off the comments.

fxdd-pic-1911

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-Feb.8.2011

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 05:24 AM PST

bob-slade-forex-trading-5-150x200Good Morning:

In a surprise move, China pushed interest rates higher by 25 basis points for the third time since mid October 2010-as the Chinese Government looks to stem the jump in inflation.  Oil, copper and emerging equity markets fell as concerns that the Chinese interest rates hike policy will slow the world’s fastest growing economy.
The Korean Won rose-as speculation mounts that the Korean Central Bank will raise interest rates to combat rising inflation in that country also.
Risk FX was boosted overnight as investors continue to put more capital in Asia.  Even the rate hike by China did not dampen the rally.

Asian and European equity markets were mixed, while US Futures are slightly higher.

Oil:$86.20                                                   Gold:$1351.60

TIME FOR EST. PRIOR
10:00A.M. IBD/TIPP ECONOMIC OPTIMISM FEB. 51.9O
10:00A.M. JOLTs JOB OPENINGS DEC. 3248

HAVE A GREAT DAY & GOOD LUCK

Canada Housing Starts Lower

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 05:20 AM PST

Housing Starts:  Survey: 173.5  Actual:  170.4  Prior:  171.5  Revised: 168.3

JAN vs. DEC
Total:  170,400 vs.  169,000
3Month Avg:  178,433 vs  179,000
Urban Areas:  146,900 vs  149,500
Single Family:  64,000  vs  65,300

PBOC Interest Rate increase sends AUDUSD lower, USDJPY higher

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 05:06 AM PST

The NY Opening Forex Commentary for February 8th 2011

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 04:45 AM PST

Canada Housing Starts Data due at 8:15AM

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 04:31 AM PST

184

German Dec. ind. production falls 1.5% from previous month

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 03:01 AM PST

The euro sold off slightly following the release.

German Ind. Production in 5 Minutes….

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 02:54 AM PST

2-8-germ-ind-production

China raises key interest rates by 25 basis points

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 02:31 AM PST


Cable reaches 23.6% line and reverses

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 01:29 AM PST

In the prior post we mentioned that the next target for the pair could possibly be 1.60918;minutes later is traded down to the line, made a new low of 1.6084, and immediately reversed and is back above 1.6100. The first significant level upward is 1.6127.

2-8-15-min

Cable Lower

Posted: 08 Feb 2011 01:07 AM PST

GBP/USD made a pass lower through an upward hourly trendline that started last friday. Some support was found yesterday near the 23.6% line on the move from Feb 3rd highs to Friday’s lows, and then the pair traded higher testing the 50.0% line; it has seen some recent selling and appears the next stop for it could possibly be 1.60918.

2-8-hourly

Swiss unemployment as expected at 3.5%

Posted: 07 Feb 2011 10:48 PM PST


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